In the last three elections, young voters played a pivotal role—and they stand to do so again in 2024, according to newly released Harvard Youth Poll. More than 40 million Gen Zers are eligible to vote, 20 percent of whom are first-time voters.
In the latest installment of Ms.’ Women & Democracy platform, “The Youth Vote Is Essential to Democracy,” we explore their ideas and perspectives—in their own words, via essays, videos and more. I also encourage you to listen to our latest Ms. Studios podcast The Z Factor. In the first episode, our Gen Z correspondent Anoushka Chander is joined by Harvard Youth Poll chair Anil Cacodcar to delve into the question: What do young voters want?
Watch, or read on, for key findings from the Harvard Youth Poll.
Gender Gap Widens Dramatically
The gender gap has exploded, with Kamala Harris now leading Donald Trump by an astonishing 30 points among young women. This is a significant increase since the spring, when the gap was just 8 points. Meanwhile, Trump’s support among young men, though still present, is weaker, and his male supporters are less likely to turn out and vote.
Harris Leads Among Youth Overall
Harris continues to hold a commanding lead over Trump among young voters. Among likely voters under the age of 30, Harris leads by a staggering 28 points (60 percent to 32 percent).
Even in key battleground states, where the race is tighter, Harris maintains a nine-point lead.
This lead reflects the growing enthusiasm and momentum behind Harris, particularly as Election Day approaches.
Peer Influence Is Key to Voter Turnout
Perhaps one of the most striking findings of this poll is the impact of peer influence on voting behavior: When young Americans believe their friends will vote, 79 percent plan to vote themselves. In stark contrast, only 35 percent plan to vote when they believe their peers won’t. This peer effect is driving voter turnout in a way that transcends traditional politics.
Concerns Over a Peaceful Transition of Power
Despite the high enthusiasm for Harris, young Americans are deeply concerned about what will happen after the election. Only 20 percent express confidence that there will be a peaceful transition of power, regardless of who wins. This speaks to a broader unease about the stability of U.S. democracy and underscores mobilizing young voters is not just about an election—it’s about securing the future of U.S. democratic institutions.
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